Premier LeagueFull time

Manchester City5:3Sunderland

AI forecast

Clear favourite: Manchester CityMost likely outcome occurred

H69%
D22%
A9%
Expected goals
1.96 — 0.58

Reading the forecast

The most likely outcome in the stored forecast is Manchester City to win: 69%. The other outcomes together account for 31%.

A higher probability does not guarantee the result or establish betting value by itself. This explains the numerical forecast; it is not a new recommendation.

Stored forecast version

Forecast published
Data cutoff
Model version
dixon-coles-v4

Probability never guarantees the outcome. The forecast is fixed before the match and never changes. This is not financial advice. 18+